Manchester United vs Everton at Old Trafford on Monday night brings together two clubs on very different long-term trajectories, but with plenty of short-term narratives. It is exactly one year since Ruben Amorim took charge of his first Premier League game for United, and the Portuguese coach marks that anniversary against a familiar opponent and a familiar face — former United manager David Moyes.
United are unbeaten in their last six Premier League meetings with Everton, winning five in a row before February’s 2-2 draw at Goodison Park. Overall they have 42 league wins against the Toffees, the most victories any team has recorded against a single opponent in Premier League history. Everton, meanwhile, have won just one of the last 12 league meetings since 2019 and only one of their last 32 top-flight visits to Old Trafford.
Manchester United vs Everton – Watch on Air
Watch the Manchester United vs Everton and world’s biggest football action live and exclusive on setantasports.com, including every match from the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, and Ligue 1. Enjoy world-class coverage, expert commentary, and nonstop drama from the stars and clubs that define modern football.
Beyond football, Setanta Sports also brings you the very best of global sport — UFC, Formula 1, basketball, tennis, and more — all in one place, anytime, on any device.
To get a discount on your subscription, you can use the following promo codes:
NEWS25 – 30% off a monthly subscription
YEAR25 – 30% off a yearly subscription
You can also begin your subscription by clicking on any of the banners below.
The previous promo codes — NEWS24 and YEAR24 — are still active.
Amorim’s Anniversary and United’s Mini-Revival
This fixture lands on the one-year mark of Amorim’s Old Trafford project. His first game was a 1–1 draw away to Ipswich on 24 November 2024, and his first – and still biggest – United win was a 4–0 demolition of Everton at Old Trafford in December last season.
It has been far from a smooth rebuild. In what amounts to a full league season (38 games), United under Amorim have taken 45 points, ranking only 14th among the 17 ever-present Premier League clubs over that period, with a negative xG difference per game (–0.01) and the worst shot-conversion rate in the division (9.6%). Still, after heavy summer investment, the recent trend is upward:
- Unbeaten in their last five league games (W3, D2) – their best run since early 2024.
- 2+ goals scored in each of those five matches, averaging 2.4 goals per game – their best attacking spell of the Amorim era.
- Four consecutive Premier League home wins, their longest Old Trafford streak since eight on the bounce between April and August 2023.
Amorim himself says United are now “more dominant, playing better football and more competitive in every way” compared to when he arrived, but the underlying data shows there is still plenty of work ahead.
Tactical Paradox: Free-Scoring but Fragile
The 2025–26 campaign has turned United into one of the league’s great paradox teams:
- They are joint top for first-half goals (11) but have conceded a league-high 14 second-half goals.
- They are the only team to have both scored and conceded at least 18 goals in the league so far.
- In all three of their draws this season, United were leading at some point — had they held on, they would be sitting second in the table.
A huge part of that split revolves around Casemiro. In the last eight league matches, United have conceded just two goals with him on the pitch, but 12 after he has gone off or when suspended, including both late goals in the 2–2 draw at Tottenham. They concede once every 124 minutes with the Brazilian on the field, compared to once every 28 minutes without him.
At the other end, Bryan Mbeumo continues to defy expected-goals models. Across last season and this one he has a combined xG overperformance of +9.5, miles ahead of any other player in the division – yet he has never scored in eight Premier League appearances against Everton, making the Toffees his biggest personal blind spot.
Lammens’ Perfect Start
One of the quiet success stories of Amorim’s second season has been in goal. Senne Lammens has yet to taste defeat in the Premier League:
- 5 starts, 1 clean sheet, all in the current five-match unbeaten run.
- Improved save percentage (66.7%) and xG prevention (+1.51) compared to Altay Bayındır’s negative numbers earlier in the season.
- Among the league’s most aggressive keepers in terms of long passing, helping United play more directly from the back.
His calm presence will be important again, particularly against Everton’s aggressive pressing in the final third.
Team News – Manchester United
Amorim’s press conference delivered several key updates:
- Benjamin Šeško – Out for a few weeks after a knee issue at Spurs; expected back around the time Bryan Mbeumo and Amad Diallo leave for the Africa Cup of Nations.
- Harry Maguire – Ruled out of this game.
- Kobbie Mainoo – A minor doubt after a knock kept him out of training and the trip to Tottenham.
- Lisandro Martínez – “Close to being ready,” but Amorim does not see him as a midfield option and will manage his minutes carefully.
Casemiro’s status is also uncertain, with United keen to avoid another stretch of games without their defensive anchor.
Team News – Everton
For Everton, Moyes confirmed:
- Merlin Röhl – Underwent hernia surgery and will miss “a few weeks,” likely sidelining him until December.
- Jarrad Branthwaite – Still out after hamstring surgery.
- Nathan Patterson – Recovering from foot and groin problems.
On the positive side:
- Seamus Coleman got valuable minutes for Ireland during the international break, and Moyes hinted the veteran is “certainly in my thoughts.”
- Tyler Dibling is “hugely part of the future”; while it is difficult to displace Jack Grealish and Iliman Ndiaye, Moyes wants to start giving the winger more Premier League action.
- Moyes reiterated there is “absolutely no interest” in selling James Garner, and that Everton plan to renew his deal.
Everton: Solid Base, Blunt Edge
The stats pack paints a clear picture of a side still in transition under Moyes:
- 15 points from 11 games – their best start since 2021–22.
- 4 wins and 4 defeats, making them, along with Brentford, one of only two sides perfectly balanced between victories and losses.
- Only 12 league goals scored, ranking 16th, with just 7 from open play — only Wolves, Leeds and Crystal Palace have fewer.
- Defensively strong: just 13 goals conceded, their best defensive start since 2022–23.
- Only two set-piece goals conceded, joint best in the league.
- Oldest average starting XI (28 years, 190 days) and fewest players used (19).
Everton press far more aggressively than last season, ranking in the top four for possessions won in the final third and high turnovers, but only 9% of those turnovers have resulted in shots — one of the lowest conversion rates from pressing in the league. Their attack is being built from a solid structure, but end product is badly lacking.
Much of the creative burden falls on Jack Grealish, who leads the league in:
- Chances created from open play
- Fouls won
- Possessions won in the final third
Yet he hasn’t registered an assist in his last seven league matches; Everton’s finishing has simply not matched his service. Strikers Beto and Thierno Barry have the league’s worst combined xG-underperformance at –4.23, underlining just how wasteful the Toffees have been in front of goal.
Head-to-Head: Old Trafford Dominance
United’s historical advantage in this fixture is staggering:
- Premier League: 66 meetings – United 42 wins, Everton 10, draws 14.
- United have scored in 18 of the last 20 league meetings, failing only in the defeats of April 2019 and April 2022.
- At Old Trafford: 33 games – United 23 wins, Everton 2, draws 8.
- United are unbeaten in their last 11 league home games vs Everton (W7, D4) since the 1–0 defeat in December 2013.
- Everton have won only one of their last 32 league visits to this ground.
- Moyes himself has never won a Premier League away game at Old Trafford in 17 attempts as a visiting manager.
Amorim is unbeaten as a coach against Everton (W1, D1), his first win as United boss coming in that emphatic 4–0 victory last December.
Key Players to Watch
Manchester United
- Bruno Fernandes – 6 league goals against Everton, a constant set-piece and open-play threat.
- Joshua Zirkzee – Scored twice in last season’s 4–0 win at Old Trafford; his movement could trouble a makeshift Everton back line.
- Bryan Mbeumo – In extraordinary finishing form overall, even if Everton remain the one side he hasn’t yet unlocked.
Everton
- Jack Grealish – The league’s leading creator in open play and a pressing machine in the final third. If Everton are to finally take their chances, his delivery will be crucial.
- James Garner – Facing his former club with growing responsibility in Everton’s midfield.
- Seamus Coleman / Tyler Dibling – Experience on one flank, youthful promise on the other; Moyes’ choices here will say a lot about his approach.
Manchester United vs Everton – Prediction and Outlook
On paper, this looks like the ideal anniversary fixture for Ruben Amorim. United are:
- In their best attacking spell in years,
- Riding a five-match unbeaten run,
- And playing at a stadium where Everton have almost never won.
Yet the numbers also warn that this Manchester United vs Everton clash could be tighter than the historical record suggests. Everton defend well, concede very little from set pieces, and press aggressively in the final third. United, meanwhile, are still vulnerable late in games and overly dependent on Casemiro’s presence to close out matches.
If United sustain their first-half intensity and manage the last 20 minutes better than they have so far this season, the odds strongly favour another home win and a fitting anniversary for Amorim. But if Everton’s forwards finally find their finishing boots to match Grealish’s creativity, Old Trafford could yet witness one of the rarest outcomes in the Premier League: an away win for David Moyes.
